Most pundits and statisticians agree that Hillary Clinton’s chances of being the Democratic nominee for President are slim to none. In fact, if the positions were reversed and Barack Obama was where Hillary is now, he most certainly would have thrown in the towel.
As I look at the situation I see nothing but upside to Hillary’s departure from this race. Polls have shown that most Hillary supporters would vote for Obama if he were the nominee. So, while her base would be disappointed, they would not likely sit out the November election. So there is little to lose by her dropping out.
If she dropped out, she would be the hero of the Democratic party. She would clear the way for the most dynamic candidate of the past 45 years to take on John McCain. She would demonstrate her commitment to the future of our country and she would lay to rest the suspicion that she would prefer McCain to win over Obama. She would cement her place in the Senate as a force to be reckoned with. She would totally disarm her opponents who consider her a selfish calculating politician.
If she stays in, she risks wrecking the Democratic party, particularly if the superdelegates award her the nomination. If nominated against the will of the people, Hillary will lose most if not all of the African-American vote and McCain will be the next President. If the superdelegates uphold the verdict of the primary/caucus voters, then Obama will emerge from the convention severely beaten up by his own fellow Democrat and the delay in his selection will give McCain a huge head of steam toward a November victory.
In short, by dropping out, Hillary has nothing to lose and everything to gain.